Maths●●●●●Difficulty 5 of 5

Why can't any way of rounding seats be perfectly fair?

In 1880 a census clerk found that adding one seat to the US House of Representatives would take one away from Alabama.

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Because seats come in whole numbers, and fair shares do not. Mathematically, an apportionment method is just a method of rounding real numbers to natural numbers. Despite the simplicity of this problem, every method of rounding suffers one or more paradoxes, as proven by the Balinski–Young theorem.

Certain quantities, like milk, can be divided in any proportion whatsoever; others, such as horses, cannot, and only whole numbers will do. In the latter case, there is an inherent tension between the desire to obey the rule of proportion as closely as possible and the constraint restricting the size of each portion to discrete values.

The tension surfaced in United States congressional apportionment. After the 1880 census, C. W. Seaton, chief clerk of the Census Bureau, computed apportionments for all House sizes between 275 and 350 and discovered that Alabama would get eight seats with a House size of 299 but only seven with a House size of 300. In general, the Alabama paradox refers to any apportionment scenario where increasing the total number of items would decrease one of the shares.

8 → 7

Alabama's seats if the House grew from 299 to 300, in the 1880 census calculation

In 1982, two mathematicians, Michel Balinski and Peyton Young, proved that any method of apportionment that does not violate the quota rule will result in paradoxes whenever there are four or more parties (or states, regions, etc.). The quota rule says each party gets one of the two whole numbers closest to its fair share. For example, if a party's fair share is 7.34 seats, it must get either 7 or 8 seats to avoid a violation; any other number will violate the rule.

Quiz me

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  1. 1.What is the Alabama paradox?
  2. 2.What does the Balinski–Young theorem say about the quota rule?
  3. 3.If a party's fair share is 7.34 seats, which allocations respect the quota rule?

Recap

Seats are whole numbers, so every way of rounding shares breaks some fairness rule somewhere.

💡 A trick to remember it · You cannot slice a chair: whoever gets the leftover seat, someone will say the crumbs were cut unfairly.

Surprising fact · In the Alabama paradox, adding a seat to the House would have cost Alabama a seat.

Sources (3)

No source, no claim. Every fact in this lesson (22 claims) cites at least one of these.

  1. [1]Apportionment paradox · Wikipedia
  2. [2]Mathematics of apportionment · Wikipedia
  3. [3]Michel Balinski · Wikipedia
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