How did Zimbabwe's prices end up doubling about every day in 2008?

At the peak, a 100 trillion dollar banknote could not pay for a simple bus fare.

Guess first

?

doubling time of prices at the peak in November 2008, as estimated by Steve Hanke (largely theoretical)

Which one is it?

Zimbabwe's prices ended up doubling about every day because the government paid its way by printing ever more money while production collapsed, until nobody trusted the currency. Almost all hyperinflations have been caused by government budget deficits financed by creating currency, and Zimbabwe fits that pattern. The responded to the dwindling value of the dollar by repeatedly arranging to print more banknotes, and from 1999 to 2009 food production and other sectors fell sharply.

How bad was it? Economists usually follow 's description: is when the monthly inflation rate exceeds 50%. The government stopped filing official inflation statistics at the height of it, so economist Steve Hanke estimated the rates himself. His index put the peak, in mid-November 2008, at a monthly rate of 79.6 billion percent, with prices doubling about every 24.7 hours. Even that is largely theoretical, since hyperinflation did not proceed at that rate over a whole year. A $100 trillion could not pay for a simple bus fare.

People lived it in small ways. Minibus fares rose through the day, so the evening ride cost more than the morning one, and the next morning's more still. By late 2008 some ATMs gave a data overflow error, because the sums had so many zeros.

Zimbabwe's hyperinflation
  1. 2007

    The government declares inflation illegal

  2. July 2008

    Annual inflation 231,000,000%; prices doubling every 17.3 days

  3. Mid-November 2008

    Peak estimated by Steve Hanke: prices doubling about every 24.7 hours

  4. April 2009

    Zimbabwe stops printing its currency

What ended it was not a clever policy but giving up the currency. In April 2009 Zimbabwe stopped printing its dollar and foreign currencies were used instead.

Try it

What steady doubling does to a price

02505007501,00002.557.510DaysPrice of a loaf (day 0 = 1)

y = 1 · 1.5ˣ

Challenge · Set the factor to 2, so prices double every day. About what does a loaf cost after 10 days?

A simple model: the same growth factor every day. Real hyperinflation was uneven; this only shows the shape of steady doubling.

Quiz me

0/3

  1. 1.On the usual definition, when does inflation count as hyperinflation?
  2. 2.Why should Zimbabwe's peak figures such as 'doubling every 24.7 hours' be treated with care?
  3. 3.What does the Zimbabwe story say about price freezes?

Recap

Hyperinflation is when prices rise over 50% a month, and almost all cases come from governments paying their deficits by printing money.

💡 A trick to remember it · When the presses never stop and trust runs dry, each note is worth less by the time it reaches your hand.

Surprising fact · A $100 trillion banknote could not pay for a simple bus fare.

Sources (2)

No source, no claim. Every fact in this lesson (15 claims) cites at least one of these.

  1. [1]Hyperinflation in Zimbabwe · Wikipedia
  2. [2]Hyperinflation · Wikipedia
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