How much gas could Jackdaw provide, and will it cut your energy bills?

Even the energy minister who approved Jackdaw said it will not mean cheaper bills: it was approved for energy security.

About 6% of something, and probably not your bill. The UK government approved the Jackdaw gas field on 21 October 2026, and said it would increase UK gas production by about 6 percent at its peak. Its developer, Adura, says at its peak Jackdaw could deliver around 6% of the UK's North Sea gas production, the equivalent of heating around 1.4 million homes. Environmental groups suggest the number is nearer to 2% of UK use once are counted.

Will it cut bills? The government's own energy minister, Miatta Fahnbulleh, said bills were not a consideration, because it will not mean cheaper bills; the decision was about . The reason is that gas from Jackdaw goes into the UK network but is still traded at European and international . As an earlier energy minister, Michael Shanks, put it, the UK is a price taker in those markets, not a price maker: its production is small next to the European and global market.

Try it

Two ways to count Jackdaw

024680255075100Share of UK gas use met by the North Sea, %Jackdaw's share of UK gas use, %

y = 0.06x + 0

Challenge · With Jackdaw at 6% of North Sea output, what share of UK gas use must the North Sea meet for Jackdaw to be 3% of use?

A simple model: Jackdaw's share of UK use = its share of North Sea output times the North Sea's share of use. OEUK's figure for 2022 was 44%; try 44 and 6% to see why the critics say about 2%.

Supporters see a different benefit. Prime Minister Andy Burnham said the decision would protect hundreds of jobs and help keep millions of homes warm. Russell Borthwick, head of Aberdeen & Grampian Chamber of Commerce, called it a direct, tangible boost to the UK's . Scotland's First Minister John Swinney said emissions from the field would have been lower than .

Opponents say the price of gas will be set elsewhere and the climate cost is real: Jackdaw is estimated to produce about 23 million tonnes of carbon dioxide over its lifetime, most of it when the gas is burned. So the honest answer to the headline is about 2% to 6%, depending on how you count, and not by itself a lower bill.

Jackdaw: what each side says

Supporters

  • Boost to (industry, government)
  • Jobs and warm homes, says Andy Burnham
  • Emissions lower than , says John Swinney

Critics

  • Will not cut bills (Stop Climate Chaos Scotland)
  • Gas is priced on international markets
  • About 23 million tonnes of CO2 over its life

Quiz me

0/3

  1. 1.Why do the figures 6% and 2% for Jackdaw not contradict each other?
  2. 2.Why did the energy minister say Jackdaw will not mean cheaper bills?
  3. 3.What was the main argument given by supporters for approving Jackdaw?

Recap

Jackdaw adds a few percent of supply, but gas is priced internationally, so the case for it rests on security rather than on bills.

💡 A trick to remember it · One extra bucket of water into a huge river: the river is still as deep as the world makes it.

Surprising fact · The energy minister said bills were not a consideration in the decision.

Sources (6)

No source, no claim. Every fact in this lesson (16 claims) cites at least one of these.

  1. [1]What does Jackdaw approval mean for you, jobs and bills? · STV News
  2. [2]UK approves development of Jackdaw gasfield in North Sea · Al Jazeera
  3. [3]OEUK: North Sea still supports UK energy security amidst oil, gas production decline · World Oil
  4. [4]Q&A: Why does gas set the price of electricity - and is there an alternative? · Carbon Brief
  5. [5]Climate campaigners angry at Jackdaw gas field approval · STV News
  6. [6]Jackdaw gas field · Wikipedia
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