Was Jeanne Calment really 122, and why are the oldest ages so hard to verify?

Jeanne Calment lived 122 years and 164 days, and in 2018 two researchers suggested it was her daughter who died in 1997.

Guess first

?

Jeanne Calment's documented lifespan, the longest verified
Think of a number, then reveal it.

Most experts say yes, though the question has been seriously raised. Jeanne Calment, born in 1875, died in 1997 with a documented lifespan of 122 years and 164 days. She is the oldest person in recorded history whose age has been verified, and the only one verified to have reached 120. She is also unusually well documented: she appears in fourteen records, starting in 1876 as a one-year-old infant.

Verifying very old ages is hard in general. A is a person aged 110 or older, which approximately one in 1,000 reaches. rely on documents, and one study argues that document validation is prone to errors that inflate the number of valid cases. In one so-called blue zone example, 82% of the supercentenarian population turned out to be missing, imaginary, clerical errors or dead when checked.

Calment's case stands out for the opposite reason: it has been checked a great deal. Her age was verified over a full year starting when she turned 120. Still, note that it is an outlier, more than three years beyond the next oldest people documented, where differences are usually months or weeks.

In 2018, Russian researchers Valery Novoselov and Nikolay Zak revived the hypothesis that Jeanne died in 1934 and that her daughter Yvonne took over her identity. Mainstream longevity experts consider it weak: French gerontologist Jean-Marie Robine pointed out that Calment correctly answered questions that her daughter could not have known first-hand, and in September 2019 several French scientists published a paper in The Journals of Gerontology pointing out inaccuracies in Zak's work. A DNA test on a blood or tissue sample could in principle settle it, if a sample were made available.

Try it

How few survive past 100?

02505007501,000036912Years after age 100Centenarians still alive

y = 1000 · 0.7ˣ

Challenge · With 1,000 centenarians, set the yearly survival to 0.55. About how many remain five years later, at 105? And ten years later, at 110?

A simple model with the same survival share every year, not real data: it shows why reaching 110 is so rare.

Quiz me

0/3

  1. 1.Why do demographers treat Calment's age as an outlier?
  2. 2.Why can a study argue that many claims of extreme age may be inflated?
  3. 3.How could the identity-swap hypothesis be tested objectively, according to geneticists?

Recap

Extreme ages are claims that live or die by their documents.

💡 A trick to remember it · A record age is only as strong as the paper behind it: Calment's trail was fourteen censuses long.

Surprising fact · A 2018 hypothesis said her daughter had taken her identity; most experts consider it weak.

Sources (2)

No source, no claim. Every fact in this lesson (17 claims) cites at least one of these.

  1. [1]Jeanne Calment · Wikipedia
  2. [2]Supercentenarian · Wikipedia
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