How does ring vaccination work, and what did the Guinea Ebola trial show?

In 2015, during the Ebola epidemic, people living next to the sick were vaccinated at once or three weeks later, to find out whether the vaccine worked.

Ring vaccination works by vaccinating the people most likely to be infected, the contacts of a confirmed patient and the contacts of those contacts, so that a ring of protection forms around each case instead of trying to reach a whole country. In Guinea in 2015 a trial of the rVSV-ZEBOV vaccine used exactly this idea, and its results were encouraging but later debated.

The logic is simple. Everyone who has been, or could have been, exposed to a patient receives the vaccine, creating a ring of protection that can limit the spread of a pathogen. It requires thorough and rapid and case investigation, and the smallpox eradication programme used it with great success. Many vaccines take weeks to work, but even if some of a patient's contacts are already infected, ring vaccination can prevent the virus from being transmitted again, to the contacts' contacts.

A ring around each case
  1. Step 1: A confirmed case

    The centre of the ring

  2. Step 2: Contacts

    Family, neighbours, colleagues

  3. Step 3: Contacts of contacts

    The outer ring

  4. Step 4: Vaccinate the ring

    Protection around the case

  5. Step 5: Chain limited

    The virus has fewer people to reach

The Guinea study was a cluster trial. In all, 3,537 contacts and contacts of contacts of laboratory-confirmed cases received either "immediate" or 21-day "delayed" vaccination. Nobody was given a dummy injection; a arm was omitted for ethical reasons. In the immediate group of 2,108 people, no case began more than ten days after vaccination; in the delayed group of 1,429 people, there were ten. Because immediate vaccination showed such protection, all recipients were then immediately.

Guinea ring trial: cases with onset more than 10 days after vaccination

cases

Bar chart: Guinea ring trial: cases with onset more than 10 days after vaccination. (cases)
Cases
Immediate (2,108 people)0 cases
21-day delayed (1,429 people)10 cases
Cases among people vaccinated at once or 21 days later; a 2017 review found claims of 100 percent efficacy unsupportable.

Experts later added a caution. In 2017 a committee of the US National Academy of Medicine agreed the vaccine probably had some , but found statements that it had substantial or 100 percent efficacy to be unsupportable. In the Democratic Republic of the Congo, a peer-reviewed study of the 2018 to 2020 outbreak found 84 percent protection for people vaccinated at least 10 days before exposure. The vaccine, known as Ervebo, was approved in the European Union and the United States in 2019.

Try it

Protect enough people and the chain breaks

1#02#14#28#316#432#564#6

It keeps growing

Each case now infects
2
Cases after 6 rounds
127
Vaccinated to stop it
50%

Challenge · Start with R at 2. Raise the vaccinated share until each case infects fewer than one. How many people had to be protected?

A simple model that protects people evenly. Ring vaccination aims at those most likely to be infected, which this model cannot show.

Quiz me

0/3

  1. 1.Who does ring vaccination protect first?
  2. 2.Why did the Guinea trial compare immediate with 21-day delayed vaccination rather than using a placebo?
  3. 3.How did a US National Academy of Medicine committee judge the claim of 100 percent efficacy?

Recap

Vaccinate the ring around each case, and compare immediate with delayed vaccination to see whether it works.

💡 A trick to remember it · Draw a circle of protection round every spark before the wind can carry it.

Surprising fact · The Guinea trial had no placebo group: everyone got the vaccine, some immediately and some after 21 days.

Sources (4)

No source, no claim. Every fact in this lesson (15 claims) cites at least one of these.

  1. [1]Ring vaccination · Wikipedia
  2. [2]RVSV-ZEBOV vaccine · Wikipedia
  3. [3]Ebola vaccine · Wikipedia
  4. [4]Ebola · Wikipedia
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